Cette page dresse la liste des sondages d'opinions relatifs aux élections fédérales canadiennes de 2015 au Québec.
Analyse
À l'échelle provinciale Pendant la campagne électorale 500px|centerÉvolution des intentions de vote pendant la campagne électorale Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon SourceRésultat du vote 35,7 16,7 25,4 19,3 2,3 0,6321929162Nanos± 4,3PDF3619212220ForumPDF25,218,726,122,74,82,5Ekos± 4,9PDF3120252310LégerPDF2716312231Angus ReidPDF2224262063Ekos± 5,3PDF242330146Ekos± 5,2PDF31,316,829,817,44,7NanosPDF221634215Ekos± 6,6PDF2519262353Ekos± 4,9PDF28,714,032,723,20,8NanosPDF261632232Nanos± 6,1PDF271830213Nanos± 6,1PDF271833183Nanos± 6,1PDF242134191Nanos± 6,1PDF2421341820IpsosHTML271736172Nanos± 6,2PDF2218382011LégerPDF2223341731ForumPDF281539142Nanos± 6,1PDF241337233IpsosHTML2214461350CROPPDF251441163Nanos± 6,1PDF22,512,045,715,03,7NanosPDF20,814,447,712,04,2NanosPDF23,514,747,89,23,7NanosPDF26,914,145,110,23,1NanosPDF20,015,840,816,04,03,4Ekos± 4,3PDF25203813ForumPDF281642112Nanos± 6,0PDF251745103Nanos± 6,1PDF251148142Nanos± 6,0PDF221047146AbacusPDF211350133Nanos± 6,0PDF2115411760InnovativePDF2122451020ForumPDF191350143Nanos± 6,0PDF2015471440IpsosHTML18,818,939,219,03,11,0Ekos± 4,1PDF211348153Nanos± 6,0PDF22,211,945,515,54,6NanosPDF2013461821LégerPDF18224314ForumPDF18,317,041,817,24,41,2Ekos± 3,6PDF23134413AbacusPDF2611411741NanosPDF2217411721InnovativePDF2516401630IpsosHTML15,617,443,917,04,91,2Ekos± 3,5PDF1911541410ForumPDF1714511710Angus ReidPDF2812371931NanosPDF2316401731ForumPDF2013471640CROPPDF3012351840NanosPDF2117402110LégerPDF2217372111ForumPDF2020361842EkosHTML22,319,34116,40,50,5IpsosHTML2813391730NanosPDF2317381920ForumPDFDéclenchement officiel des élections fédérales ()
Pendant la 41 législature du Canada 500px|centerÉvolution des intentions de vote pendant la 41 législature du Canada En 2015 (avant la campagne électorale) Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Source3018361321NanosPDF2419361731ForumPDF1720,736,319,63,72,6Ekos± 4,7PDF1920382021ForumPDF1823371930LégerPDF221436253CROPPDF2416322621Léger± 3,1PDF1716481711Angus ReidPDF16,916,038,420,45,62,7Ekos± 5,5PDF251542135CROPPDF2621311660LégerPDF291931183CROPPDF2822301541LégerPDF291830185CROPPDF331630174CROPPDF2916311831LégerPDF361630144CROPPDF28,419,122,718,57,43,9Ekos± 4,2PDF
En 2014 Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Source2517262471EkosPDF3014351721Angus ReidPDF3417291640LégerPDF321634144CROPPDF3319291441LégerPDF3315261493Ekos± 5,7PDF3916251721ForumPDF31,89,836,217,44,10,7Ekos± 5,1PDF341336135CROPPDF3715261830ForumPDF3012371632Ekos± 4,8PDF361724194Abacus± 5,0PDF3210351840CROPPDF2812342222Angus ReidPDF3116292130ForumPDF311729202CROPPDF3212332040CROPPDF3415251952Ekos± 2,7PDF3313311860CROPPDF2912342220Angus ReidPDF341230204CROPPDF2817321931Ekos± 5,6PDF401028175CROPPDF
En 2013 Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Source3613301740CROPPDF3613281670CROPPDF311431186CROPPDF3713202721ForumPDF311433175CROPPDF3914301233NanosPDF411427171CROPPDF3813222530ForumPDF2913232763Ekos± 3,5PDF468261541LégerPDF3513301580Nanos± 6,9PDF39929185CROPPDF3812252320IpsosHTML379242352HarrisPDF381030184CROPPDF4610221821ForumPDFJustin Trudeau est élu chef du Parti libéral du Canada3112222862Ekos± 3,3PDF3412321940Nanos± 6,6PDF2816292150AbacusPDF32932262IpsosHTML379242181ForumPDF2814242941LégerPDF191539216CROPPDF231537224CROPPDF2211282973Ekos± 2,6PDF3114292421ForumPDF191534265AbacusPDF261931202NanosPDF201935215CROPPDF
En 2012 Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Source2915262460ForumPDF211340224CROPPDF1517352922LégerPDF2515242863Ekos± 2,5PDF172341163CROPPDF321234191Nanos± 7,1PDF2514342610IpsosHTML2916312121ForumPDF201638215CROPPDF251736181Nanos± 6,8PDF3017292211ForumPDF24,015,133,720,52,74,0Nanos± 7,0PDF2318342221ForumPDF25,016,838,817,22,30Nanos± 6,5PDF1613392183Ekos± 4,1PDF1518422221ForumPDF1712332783Ekos± 4,9PDF15174322AbacusHTML151840261IpsosHTML131848183CROPPDF1616422331Angus ReidPDF1815412241ForumPDF1718421436Nanos± 6,4PDF141552144CROPPDF1713422311IpsosHTML1410392962HarrisPDF1716421932ForumPDF151351183CROPPDF2320371631Nanos± 6,4PDF1515412810IpsosHTML1010472931LégerPDF1219422241ForumPDF1514402820ForumPDFThomas Mulcair est élu chef du NPD et devient chef de l'opposition officielle221929282CROPPDF1523312561Ekos± 4,7PDF2214273160LégerPDF1917282574Ekos± 3,4PDF202231242CROPPDF192429224CROPPDF
En 2011 Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Source162236224CROPPDF2321332021Nanos± 7,1PDF1918282258ForumPDFDaniel Paillé est élu chef du Bloc québécois152337213CROPPDF2420381620Nanos± 7,1PDF1815451534Nanos± 6,5PDF132246154CROPPDF1820441413Nanos± 6,5PDF1422402121Angus ReidPDF1419461740CROPHTML1119432322LégerHTML1619491042Nanos± 6,2PDFJack Layton décède, Nycole Turmel le remplace comme chef de l'opposition intérimaire122240206CROPPDF 1722352240Angus Reid PDF101853163CROPPDF1415462231Léger± 3,1PDF2022391144Nanos± 6,3PDF1319432240AbacusPDFÉlection de 2011 14,2 16,5 42,9 23,4 2,1 0,6
Par langue Intentions de votes chez les francophones Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Marge d'erreur Source1513501750CROPPDF1312511940CROPPDF1816333210LégerPDF241038244CROPPDF2811352150CROPPDF3111311980CROPPDF2512352250CROPPDF2712382040CROPPDF4114271710CROPPDF328342210CROPPDF329332240CROPPDF1613412451CROPPDF1612402540CROPPDF1617372540CROPPDF1711422550CROPPDF1221441930CROPPDF1413422650CROPPDF817492340CROPPDF1113541741CROPPDF1110542220CROPPDF1817303310CROPPDF1719312930CROPPDF1720322840CROPPDF1420352730CROPPDF1220392630CROPPDF1018491850CROPPDF1217472040CROPPDF820412461CROPPDF716561830CROPPDF1412452522LégerPDF
Intentions de votes chez les non-francophones Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Marge d'erreur Source491830120CROPPDF481729331CROPPDF471727423LégerPDF63201233CROPPDF521917480CROPPDF571914460CROPPDF172547551LégerPDF
Par zone géographique Sondeur Date Libéral Conservateur NPD Bloc québécois Vert Montréal () Québec () Autres régions Montréal () Québec () Autres régions Montréal () Québec () Autres régions Montréal () Québec () Autres régions Montréal () Québec () Autres régionsCROP 251022133212454147141014475CROP 221817102314464549181314316Léger 241414374233181610Léger 311120123217322632232828132CROP 372428112011322735162223364CROP 352731102013333428161520547CROP 38253513299252833161317947Léger 131017142713474145211823432
Intentions de votes sur l'Île de Montréal Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Marge d'erreur SourceRésultat du vote 47,1 10,2 21,0 15,4 4,8 1,4421423163CROPPDF
Intentions de votes dans la couronne de Montréal Dernier jour du sondage PLC PCC NPD BQ Vert Autres Sondeur Échantillon Marge d'erreur Source33840172CROPPDF
Notes et références
Québec Federales, 2015 Sondage, Fédérale, Québec, 2019